“The Future of Electric Vehicles: Current and 2030 Production Targets by Major Automakers”

Carl London
3 min readAug 19, 2024

--

As of 2024, there are approximately 289 million registered vehicles in the United States. This number includes cars, trucks, and other light vehicles. The total has been gradually increasing over the past few years, reflecting a consistent demand for personal vehicles, despite fluctuations in the automotive market due to factors like economic conditions and the rise of electric vehicles (EVs).

The number of vehicles in the U.S. also corresponds with the fact that about 89% of U.S. households own at least one vehicle. California, Texas, and Florida are among the states with the highest number of registered vehicles due to their large populations and reliance on personal transportation​ (ConsumerAffairs)​ (Toyota USA Newsroom).

As of 2024, global automakers and battery manufacturers have committed approximately $1.2 trillion to the transition to electric vehicles (EVs). This massive investment covers everything from the development of EV models to the production of batteries and the expansion of manufacturing facilities worldwide.

In the United States alone, the investment is expected to reach around $312 billion, with nearly $223 billion already allocated to specific manufacturing plants and projects. Major automakers like Tesla, Toyota, and Volkswagen are leading the charge, with Tesla planning to invest up to $100 billion by 2030 to reach its ambitious production targets. Meanwhile, traditional automakers like Ford and GM are also committing billions to develop EV models and build new factories​ (Atlas EV Hub)​ (Reuters)​ (Atlas Public Policy).

As of 2024, global production of electric vehicles (EVs) is rapidly increasing, with several automakers scaling up their efforts. Here’s a breakdown of the major players:

1. Tesla: Currently, Tesla is the leading EV manufacturer, producing approximately 2 million EVs annually. The company aims to increase this number significantly with new gigafactories under construction​ (Reuters).

2. Volkswagen Group: Volkswagen is producing around 1 million EVs annually across its brands, with plans to increase production to around 3 million EVs per year by the end of the decade​ (Reuters).

3. General Motors (GM): GM is ramping up its EV production with plans to produce about 1 million EVs annually by 2025, scaling up further by 2030​ (Reuters).

4. Ford: Ford is targeting a production capacity of 2 million EVs per year by 2026, with further increases expected as the decade progresses​ (Atlas Public Policy).

5. Toyota: Toyota, a latecomer to the fully electric vehicle market, plans to produce around 3.5 million EVs annually by 2030​ (Reuters).

Projected EV Production by 2030:

By 2030, automakers are expected to significantly increase their EV output as part of their broader electrification strategies:

1. Tesla: Tesla aims to produce 20 million EVs annually by 2030. This ambitious goal includes the development of new gigafactories globally​ (Reuters).

2. Volkswagen Group: Volkswagen targets producing around 7 million EVs per year by 2030 as part of its “New Auto” strategy, which focuses heavily on electrification​ (Atlas Public Policy).

3. General Motors: GM aims to have an annual production capacity of about 3 million EVs by 2030 across its various brands​ (Reuters).

4. Ford: Ford plans to produce at least 2–3 million EVs annually by 2030 as part of its strategy to electrify its most popular models like the F-150 and Mustang​ (Reuters).

5. Toyota: Toyota is targeting 3.5 million EVs annually by 2030, which includes a mix of battery-electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrids (PHEVs)​ (Reuters).

These projections illustrate the aggressive expansion plans by traditional and new automakers as they pivot towards electric vehicles, with significant investments in manufacturing capacity and technology development expected to drive these increases.

By 2030, the United States is expected to need between 2 million and 2.5 million public EV charging stations to support the growing number of electric vehicles on the road. This estimate includes a mix of Level 2 chargers and DC fast chargers, which are necessary to meet the demands of every day EV drivers as well as those on longer road trips.

This projection aligns with President Biden’s goal of building 500,000 public chargers by 2030, which is seen as a critical step in accelerating the transition to electric vehicles. However, to fully meet future needs, significant additional private sector investment and expansion will be required​ (Atlas EV Hub)​ (Atlas Public Policy).

--

--

Carl London

Carl London, a writer fascinated by TROPTIONS, has been unraveling their story since the beginning. From their obscure origins to their current prominence,